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Analysis | NFL best bets for Week 14: Lots of points from the Cowboys and Eagles

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Monday, 8:15 p.m. | ABC, ESPN Plus

Pick: Giants team total under 15½ points (The pick is Packers -6½, but it isn’t a best bet.)

The Giants’ offense is historically bad, scoring 13.5 fewer points per game than expected this season. Since 2002, when the league expanded to 32 teams, only seven teams have been worse, per data from TruMedia. In addition, New York has been held to 14 or fewer points in eight of 12 games; the Giants have scored 10 or fewer points six times, more than any other team in the league.

The plays above represent our best bets of the week because our analysis shows their value is the most lucrative compared with what we expect to happen on the field. Below, you will find against-the-spread picks for all of the games on this week’s schedule. However, trying to pick every game is something of a fool’s errand. The house wins so often partly because bettors try to make too many plays when the odds aren’t in their favor. Keep that in mind when evaluating the remaining games from this week’s slate.

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