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Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, 11/26/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12



Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, NV


Odds/Point Spread: Raiders (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Las Vegas Raiders (5-6) will take on the Kansas City Chiefs (7-3) at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. Kansas City is 9-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 43.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this matchup 7-3 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chiefs faced off with the Eagles and took a loss by a score of 21-17. Isiah Pacheco was the rushing leader for the Chiefs with 19 totes for 89 yds (4.7 yds per carry). Justin Watson had an average of 10.6 yards per reception by accumulating 53 yards on 5 catches. Patrick Mahomes finished 24/43 with 177 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 71.6 and finished the contest with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Chiefs gave up 114 yards on 27 tries, which is an average of 4.2 yds per run allowed. Kansas City conceded 14 completions on 22 attempts for a total of 124 yds, and a completion rate of 63.6%. Overall, they ran 74 plays which gave them 336 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the football 30 different times and compiled 168 yards, earning them an average of 5.6 yds per carry.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs hold an average of 22.5 points per outing. As a team they’re averaging 110.2 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 14th in the National Football League. The Chiefs have racked up 3,654 yards in total for this campaign. Kansas City has amassed 130 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 67 penalties for 555 yards. They have turned the ball over 19 times (11 picks and 8 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, Kansas City has compiled 19 touchdowns through the air and 4 rushing touchdowns.

Regarding passing yards, the Chiefs have given up 1,708 yards which has them ranked 3rd in the league. They have conceded 170.8 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 60.9%. For the season, they are conceding 283.2 yards per game ranking them 4th in the NFL. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground and 112.4 rushing yards per contest this year. During the season, they have allowed 1,124 yards via the ground game in 10 games. The Chiefs rank 3rd in the league in relation to the opposition scoring, allowing 16.4 PPG.

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The Raiders come into this matchup with a record of 5-6 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Raiders went home defeated by a final of 20-13 against the Dolphins. Josh Jacobs carried the ball 14 times for 39 yds, ending the game with 2.8 yds per attempt for Las Vegas. Davante Adams was one of the featured targets for the Raiders, hauling in 7 passes for 82 yds (11.7 yds per reception). Aidan O’Connell (1 TD) finished the game with 271 yards on 24/41 passing while his quarterback rating was 56. He threw 3 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.6 yds. Las Vegas conceded 28 run attempts for 99 yds (3.5 yds per rush). The Raiders passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 71.8%, relinquishing 323 yds on 28 out of 39 through the air. The Raiders finished the contest with a total of 296 yds on 59 plays (5.0 yds per play). Las Vegas rushed for 2.3 yds per carry, finishing the game with 36 yds on 16 attempts.

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When it comes to their ability to score points, the Raiders rank 26th out of all teams in football with 16.8 PPG. For the year to this point, the Raiders have compiled 2,181 passing yards as well as an average of 198.3 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 23rd in the league. They are averaging 79.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 869 yards overall. The Las Vegas Raiders hold an average of 277.3 yards per contest ranking them 29th out of all teams in the NFL. The Las Vegas offense has totaled 488 yards of penalties on 56 infractions, which ranks them 24th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 17 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 118 first downs.

The Raiders are giving up 20.5 points per contest, ranking them 13th of all teams in the NFL. They have given up 13 touchdowns via the pass and 210.0 yards/contest, ranking them 11th out of all teams. Las Vegas has conceded a total of 1,455 yards on the ground (132.3 yards per outing) as well as 10 touchdowns rushing for the season. The Raiders defense taken the field for 711 plays, which is 29th in the NFL. They have compiled 14 takeaways (4 fumbles recovered and 10 picks) on the campaign. In total, they have relinquished 225 points in total.

Who will win tonight’s Chiefs/Raiders NFL game against the spread?

Guy’s Pick: Take the Raiders +9

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