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Warriors vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, spread, time: 2023 NBA picks, March 22 best bets from proven model



The Dallas Mavericks will look to continue their recent mastery over the Golden State Warriors when they meet on Wednesday. The Warriors (37-36), who have lost six of nine, are coming off a 121-108 win at Houston. The Mavericks (36-36), who have lost four of six, were beaten at Memphis 112-108 on Monday. Dallas has won 10 of the past 13 meetings between the two, including four straight played in Dallas. Andrew Wiggins (personal) is out for Golden State, while Dallas’ injury reports consists of Kyrie Irving (questionable; foot) and Tim Hardaway Jr. (out; illness).

The game from American Airlines Center in Dallas will tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Warriors are averaging 118.3 points per game this season, second-best in the league, while the Mavericks average 113.7, 17th-best. Golden State is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points is 237. Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 23 of the 2022-23 NBA season a stunning 69-36 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavericks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Mavericks vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Mavericks spread: Warriors -2.5
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks over/under: 237 points
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks money line: Warriors -145, Mavs +122
  • GS: The Warriors are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games following an ATS win
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games overall
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Mavericks can cover

Shooting guard Josh Green is coming off a 12-point and three-rebound effort at Memphis on Monday. He has reached double-digit scoring in four of the past five games, including a 23-point effort in a 104-88 loss to Memphis on March 13. In 52 games, including 19 starts, Green is averaging 9.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists in 25.7 minutes. He has scored in double figures in 19 games this season, including six with 20 or more points.

Guard Jaden Hardy has also played well of late, scoring 20 or more points in four of the past five games. He scored 20 points in Monday’s loss at Memphis and scored 28 points against the Grizzlies on March 13. In 38 games, including three starts, Hardy is averaging 8.2 points, 1.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists. Hardy, who has seen his minutes increase of late, has scored 10 or more points 13 times, including six with 20 or more.

Why the Warriors can cover

Point guard Stephen Curry has been on fire. He scored 30 points, grabbed seven rebounds and dished out five assists in Monday’s win at Houston. He scored 50 points, dished out six assists and grabbed two rebounds in a 134-126 loss to the Clippers on March 15. He has been solid against the Mavericks. In two games this season against Dallas, Curry is averaging 26.5 points, 6.0 assists and 5.5 rebounds in 31.5 minutes.

Shooting guard Klay Thompson has also been red hot. In the win at Houston earlier this week, he scored 29 points, while grabbing seven rebounds. He had 38 points and five boards in a 123-112 win over Phoenix on March 13. In 61 games, all starts, Thompson is averaging 22 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.4 assists in 32.9 minutes. He has reached double figures in 57 games, including 33 games in which he scored 20 or more. Thompson has two double-doubles on the year.

How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 245 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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